TECHNICAL PICTURE -- SWISS FRANC

Thu 5/23/02

      The June Swiss Franc posted an overall contract high at 6390 and an overall low at 6333 during yesterday's Globex session. SFM opened higher yesterday and traded sideways for most of the day to finally settle +32 bp at a contract high settlement at 6377. SFM posted an IMM high at 6389 and an IMM low at 6362. The 9-day RSI rose to 70.9 from the previous session's 67.3 where it is high. The short and intermediate- term trends are bullish with yesterday contract high and contract high settlement. The long-term trend is neutral with SFM in the middle of a wide 10-month range. Primary resistance levels for SFM are: 6390 and 6536. Primary support levels for SFM are: 6333, 6254, 6183, 6039, 5965, 5934, and 5918. Theoretical basis for today: -2 IMM bp.

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS -- CASH DOLLAR-SWISS FRANC

1.8298  23-month high (10/26/00)
1.8223  19-month high (7/6/01)
1.7392  10-1/4 month high (7/23/01)
1.7225  9-3/4 month high (Feb 1)
1.7132  3-1/2 month high (Mar 12)
1.6861  2-1/2 month high (Mar 28)
1.6785  1-3/4 month high (Apr 9)
1.6715  1-1/2 month high (Apr 16)
1.6673  1-1/2 month high settle (Apr 15)
1.6194  3-week high (Last Wed)
1.6149  3-week high settle (Last Tue)
1.5808  Yesterday's high
*1.5686 1-1/3 year low settle (Wed 2pm)
1.5661  1-1/3 year low (Yesterday)
1.5427  2-1/2 year low (1/5/00)
1.4540  3-year low (10/15/99)
1.3404  3-1/2 year low (1/13/99)
1.2747  5-1/2 year low (10/8/98)
1.1850  6-year low (7/31/96)

RETRACEMENTS-- CASH DOLLAR-SWISS FRANC
10-month .2562 downmove from 1.8223 (7/6/01) to 1.5661 (Yesterday)

HIGH   3/4    2/3    .618   1/2    .382   1/3    1/4    LOW
1.8223 1.7582 1.7369 1.7244 1.6942 1.6640 1.6515 1.6301 1.5661

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS -- SWISS FRANC FUTURES (SFM02)

6536  2-1/2 yr high wkly nrst (1/3/00 H00)
6390  Contract high (Yesterday-Globex)
6389  Yesterday's IMM high
*6377 Contract high settle (Wednesday)
6366  Pivot Point
6362  Yesterday's IMM low
6333  Yesterday's overall low (Globex)
6254  Last Friday's low
6196  3-week low settle (Last Tue)
6189  30-day moving average
6183  2-1/2 week low (Last Wednesday)
6118  50-day moving average
6051  200-day moving average
6039  1-month low (Apr 23)
6031  100-day moving average
5972  1-3/4 month low settle (Apr 15)
5965  1-1/2 month low (Apr 16)
5943  2-1/2 month low settle (Mar 28)
5934  2-1/4 month low (Mar 27)
5918  2-3/4 month low (Mar 8)
5857  3-3/4 month low settle (Feb 26)
5842  3-3/4 month low (Feb 26)
5813  10-month low & low sttl (Jan 31)
5488  5-yr lo wkly nearest (10/23/00 Z00)

RETRACEMENTS-- SWISS FRANC FUTURES (SFM02)
3-1/2 month 577 bp upmove from 5813 (1/31/02) to 6390 (Yesterday)

HIGH   1/4    1/3    .382   1/2    .618   2/3    3/4    LOW
6390   6246   6198   6170   6101   6033   6005   5957   5813


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